Statland: Records by beatability

	Adam Gillard Paul's superb 195 has lifted Hypertouch Letters Attack away from the 100% formats into 64th place on its own.
	Charlie Reams Italian Letters Attack has also been elevated from the 100% zone, nice work Anglo.
	Adam Gillard Snapshot of the 4 records I set in the last 24 hours - WAS: 36th Spoilage 9 10%; 37th Unlimited Flat 9 12%; 45th Spoilage 15 21%; 54th Spoilage Letters Attack 39%. NOW (in ascending order): 32nd Spoilage 15 6%; 27th Spoilage LA 4%; 18th Unlimited Flat 9 3%; 9th Spoilage 9 1%. Going to be proper difficult to beat that last one even with a following wind, despite not having solved the conundrum.
	Adam Gillard Not many formats left at 100% now. Good work from Amie on the Russian 9 and 15 rounders.
	Jon O'Neill Is it me or is this list upside-down to what you expect coming in? Or should it be called "Records by unbeatability?"
	Adam Gillard Ascending beatability; makes sense to me.
	Jon O'Neill Fair enough, you probably look at this page more than anyone.
	Gevin Chapwell Doesn't make sense to me. Records by x would normally mean descending. Top scores would start with the highest, for example. So yeah, it is upside-down.
	Adam Gillard Are goaty formats' beatability determined by max available or metamax available? Either way, Goatdown Standard looks surprisingly beatable.
	Adam Gillard Well done Bob! Down to 1% beatability now.
	Stephen Moore What does 1 in ∞ mean?
	Stephen Moore It updated overnight - it is now beatable one in 3,314 games!
	Catherine Mullan Why is that?
	Stephen Moore Whoops, I was looking at the Junior 9 Rounder score, not the Junior 15, in 23rd at 1 in 243.
	Jon Stitcher Players don't get accused of cheating, they get discovered cheating.
Show all comments
	Gevin Chapwell Just looking at this, I was thinking that the beatability becomes a bit inaccurate when it's very low. Octorock 9 is 1 in infinity, even though it is beatable, presumably because a higher max has never been seen. So maybe rather than using stats from whole games, a calculation that uses round-by-round information might be more accurate.
	Johnny Canuck Agreed that the 1 in ∞ figure is misleading, especially for a rather rare format-variant combination. Perhaps a question mark ("1 in ?") or the current number of attempts followed by a plus sign ("1 in 1,009+") would be more suitable.
	Mike Lee Are these beatability figures getting adjusted now that we’ve just had the 2024 dictionary cull???
	Matthew Brockwell These figures are calculated by the empirical data of actual games played over all time. Given how rarely some of these variants are played I don’t think it is worth it, they will naturally adjust over time, and already include pre-2015 data.
	Callum Todd Yes I believe the formula is something like: The number of games ever played in this format (Attempts Column) divided by: The number of those games in which the maximum available score was higher than the current high score equals: the Beatable 1 game in... column That as a percentage gives the Beatability score. So for example the 15 rounder, there have been 831,626 of those played in apterous history. 37 of these have hada max score greater than 179. Therefore the high score is beatable 37 games in 831,626, or 1 game in 22,476, 0.004% of the time. I'm not sure how many of those 37 games occurred during the bloated dictionary era, but the 13 I can see all did: https://www.apterous.org/viewformat.php?format=269&section=3 I don't expect it will be reasonably possible to recalculate these scores based on new dictionary as that would required recomputing the maximum of more or less every round ever played in apterous history.

Major places

Statland: Records by beatability

This table shows all current beatable high scores ordered by "beatability". This is defined as the proportion of games in which the maximum score is higher than the current high score. The table also shows how many games one would have to play, on average, to get even one chance to beat the current record. Formats in which the maximum possible score has already been achieved are not shown.

#	Format	High score	Beatability	Beatable 1 game in...	Attempts
1st	Junior 9 Rounder	106	0%	∞	10,433
1st	Lockdown 9	79	0%	∞	2,005
3rd	15 Rounder	179	0.004%	25,965	1,012,621
4th	Old 15	170	0.005%	22,028	330,417
5th	Nice 9	83	0.02%	6,576	13,152
6th	Unlimited Jnr Letters Attack	144	0.02%	5,637	16,910
7th	Bullet Letters Attack	228	0.02%	4,830	28,981
8th	Unlimited Jnr 15	125	0.02%	4,255	12,764
9th	Unlimited Jnr 9	78	0.03%	3,902	7,803
10th	9 Rounder	116	0.03%	3,876	124,039
11th	Mocktorun	1165	0.04%	2,571	12,853
12th	Octorock 9	74	0.05%	2,172	2,172
13th	Octorock Numbers Attack	186	0.1%	1,932	9,658
14th	Letters Attack	218	0.1%	1,750	55,991
15th	CSW 9 rounder	116	0.1%	1,634	1,634
16th	Blitz	178	0.1%	1,491	5,963
17th	Instant Letters Attack	200	0.1%	1,460	43,804
18th	Goat Attack	299	0.1%	1,222	48,871
19th	Unlimited 9	103	0.1%	1,098	6,588
20th	Bullet 9	107	0.1%	992	11,904
21st	Unlimited Flat 9	98	0.1%	899	1,797
22nd	Spoilage 15	426	0.1%	870	3,481
23rd	Spoilage 9	261	0.1%	698	2,793
24th	Lightning Goatblitz	216	0.2%	637	9,555
25th	Unlimited Blitz	169	0.2%	616	1,849
26th	Junior Letters Attack	194	0.2%	597	6,567
27th	Speed Letters Attack	214	0.2%	568	10,217
28th	Unlimited 15	164	0.2%	556	6,677
29th	Speedgoat	215	0.2%	500	15,493
30th	Goatdown Jnr. Letters Attack	137	0.2%	457	3,653
31st	Bullet 15	164	0.2%	453	18,125
32nd	Spoilage Letters Attack	623	0.2%	445	4,899
33rd	Lockdown Jnr 9	70	0.2%	444	1,332
34th	CSW 15 rounder	168	0.2%	438	1,752
35th	Unlimited Letters Attack	214	0.3%	388	12,794
36th	CSW Letters Attack	216	0.3%	307	3,686
37th	Nice 15	133	0.3%	298	6,566
38th	Speed 15	161	0.3%	294	9,408
39th	Nice Letters Attack	167	0.3%	286	18,601
40th	Lockdown Jnr Letters Attack	125	0.4%	282	1,408
41st	Hyper 15	168	0.4%	254	7,116
42nd	Nasty 9	77	0.4%	253	1,769
43rd	Octolock 9	73	0.4%	252	1,008
44th	Instant 15	152	0.4%	242	12,346
45th	Speed 9	104	0.4%	233	14,929
46th	Flat 9	74	0.4%	233	4,419
47th	Instant 9	96	0.5%	206	11,533
48th	Hyper Unlimited Letters Attack	262	0.5%	203	9,930
49th	Goatdown Jnr. 15	113	1%	196	3,326
50th	Deepdown Letters Attack	136	1%	193	2,118
51st	Goatdown Standard	214	1%	189	17,239
52nd	Lockdown Jnr 15	110	1%	169	2,027
53rd	Lightning 15	161	1%	136	3,254
54th	Touchdown 15	137	1%	131	4,330
55th	Goatblitz	213	1%	131	15,957
56th	Hyper Unlimited 9	113	1%	130	2,466
57th	Berserk 9	104	1%	127	6,480
58th	Junior 15 Rounder	151	1%	103	10,630
59th	Berserk Letters Attack	204	1%	85	3,741
60th	Berserk 15	158	1%	78	6,355
61st	Flat 15	121	1%	69	1,796
62nd	Touchdown 9	83	1%	67	2,549
63rd	Hyper Unlimited 15	186	2%	66	3,233
64th	Hyper Letters Attack	208	2%	60	5,720
65th	Hyper Unlimited Flat 9	107	2%	56	1,408
66th	Lockdown 15	125	2%	56	3,025
67th	14 Rounder	145	2%	43	695
68th	Nice Blitz	129	2%	41	3,653
69th	Touchdown Letters Attack	174	2%	41	6,414
70th	Nasty Letters Attack	147	3%	35	6,942
71st	French 9 Rounder	99	3%	34	3,239
72nd	Octolock 15	114	3%	34	1,983
73rd	Hypergoat 9	118	3%	34	1,745
74th	Octorock Letters Attack	140	3%	33	3,167
75th	Portuguese 9 Rounder	96	3%	32	1,357
76th	Nasty 15	122	3%	32	2,401
77th	Duckdown 9	149	3%	31	1,947
78th	Octolock Numbers Attack	182	3%	30	6,157
79th	Hypergoat Letters Attack	250	3%	30	14,957
80th	Hypertouch 9	95	3%	30	1,661
81st	Octorock 15	114	4%	29	2,881
82nd	Lockdown Letters Attack	151	4%	28	1,818
83rd	Hyper 9	99	4%	27	5,228
84th	Lightning Goatdown 15	204	4%	23	3,202
85th	Hypergoat Blitz	185	5%	21	2,493
86th	Touchblitz	134	6%	18	1,693
87th	French Letters Attack	203	6%	16	11,806
88th	German 9	82	7%	13	1,604
89th	Hyper Nasty Letters Attack	184	8%	12	2,581
90th	Beanstalk Letters Attack	198	8%	12	3,600
91st	Welsh 9 rounder	81	9%	11	884
92nd	Russian 15	112	9%	11	3,484
93rd	German 15	132	10%	10	3,338
94th	Spanish 9	102	11%	9	2,673
95th	Hyper Blitz	153	11%	9	1,258
96th	French 15 Rounder	152	11%	9	5,789
97th	Hypergoatdown	173	12%	8	4,120
98th	Portuguese 15 Rounder	148	13%	8	1,739
99th	Russian 9	69	13%	8	856
100th	Octolock Letters Attack	134	14%	7	681
101st	Italian 15	158	16%	6	2,038
102nd	Hyperlock 9	86	17%	6	532
103rd	Nasty Blitz	117	17%	6	1,166
104th	Russian Letters Attack	128	17%	6	7,642
105th	Duckdown 15	238	21%	5	2,611
106th	Hyper Nasty 9	85	22%	4	1,155
107th	Spanish 15	157	22%	4	3,732
108th	Old Mocktorun	1043	23%	4	915
109th	German Letters Attack	155	23%	4	6,469
110th	Portuguese Letters Attack	180	28%	4	2,100
111th	Dutch 15	132	33%	3	1,745
112th	Hyperlock Letters Attack	180	34%	3	1,057
113th	Italian 9	91	35%	3	1,420
114th	Hyperlock 15	140	36%	3	1,874
115th	Hypertouch 15	154	37%	3	2,530
116th	Catalan 9	94	40%	2	337
117th	Italian Letters Attack	199	41%	2	4,196
118th	Duckdown Letters Attack	345	42%	2	2,096
119th	Hyper Nasty Blitz	137	44%	2	772
120th	Dutch 9	78	45%	2	779
121st	Hypertouchblitz	154	45%	2	1,721
122nd	Hyper Nasty 15	139	53%	2	1,460
123rd	Hypertouch Letters Attack	206	54%	2	5,884
124th	Greek 9	77	55%	2	2,587
125th	Latin 9	105	56%	2	1,245
126th	Spanish Letters Attack	190	70%	1	3,361
127th	Welsh 15 rounder	114	86%	1	2,630
128th	Hebrew 9 Rounder	69	93%	1	419
129th	Dutch Letters Attack	148	93%	1	2,098
130th	Catalan 15	134	96%	1	379
131st	Greek 15	118	96%	1	1,298
132nd	Latin 15	151	97%	1	2,437
133rd	Catalan Letters Attack	174	98%	1	490
134th	Latin Letters Attack	202	99%	1	1,352
135th	Greek Letters Attack	142	99.8%	1	1,632
136th	Hebrew Letters Attack	129	99.9%	1	676
137th	Spoilage Numbers Attack	180	100%	1	10,992
137th	Berserk Conundrum Attack	190	100%	1	8,324
137th	Welsh Letters Attack	127	100%	1	2,062
137th	Hyper Nasty Conundrum Attack	190	100%	1	1,578
137th	Omelette Blitz	148	100%	1	1,520
137th	Spoilage Conundrum Attack	150	100%	1	1,159
137th	Finnish 15 Rounder	99	100%	1	1,125
137th	Touchdown Jnr Conundrum Attack	170	100%	1	1,103
137th	Finnish Letters Attack	110	100%	1	942
137th	Finnish 9 Rounder	58	100%	1	774
137th	German Conundrum Attack	170	100%	1	599
137th	Hebrew 15 Rounder	106	100%	1	535
137th	Hypertouch Conundrum Attack	170	100%	1	352
137th	Portuguese Conundrum Attack	150	100%	1	335
137th	Spanish Conundrum Attack	100	100%	1	310
137th	Italian Conundrum Attack	90	100%	1	242
137th	Greek Conundrum Attack	90	100%	1	225
137th	Latin Conundrum Attack	100	100%	1	218
137th	Russian Conundrum Attack	90	100%	1	118
137th	Dutch Conundrum Attack	70	100%	1	115
137th	Hebrew Conundrum Attack	90	100%	1	72
137th	Finnish Conundrum Attack	60	100%	1	48
137th	Catalan Conundrum Attack	80	100%	1	41

Last updated: 2026-07-19 19:11:04 (9 days, 1 hour, 51 minutes, and 19 seconds ago.)
Update time: 3 minutes and 30 seconds.
Next update: Imminent.

This website is not endorsed by or affiliated with Channel 4, the makers of Countdown, or any person associated with the aforementioned in any way whatsoever at all, never has been, never will be, and moreover is proud not to be. Yep.

Page generated in 0.042 seconds. It's 21:02:23 on Tuesday 28 July 2026 here at Apterous Towers. Design and all good stuff copyright © Charles Reams 2008–2026. In memory of Phillip Harcort Collinge, never forgotten. Some graphical and aesthetic elements by Matt Morrison and Jon O'Neill.

apterous.org

Statland: Records by beatability