Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Paul's superb 195 has lifted Hypertouch Letters Attack away from the 100% formats into 64th place on its own.

Charlie Reams

Charlie Reams Italian Letters Attack has also been elevated from the 100% zone, nice work Anglo.

Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Snapshot of the 4 records I set in the last 24 hours - WAS: 36th Spoilage 9 10%; 37th Unlimited Flat 9 12%; 45th Spoilage 15 21%; 54th Spoilage Letters Attack 39%. NOW (in ascending order): 32nd Spoilage 15 6%; 27th Spoilage LA 4%; 18th Unlimited Flat 9 3%; 9th Spoilage 9 1%. Going to be proper difficult to beat that last one even with a following wind, despite not having solved the conundrum.

Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Not many formats left at 100% now. Good work from Amie on the Russian 9 and 15 rounders.

Jon O'Neill

Jon O'Neill Is it me or is this list upside-down to what you expect coming in? Or should it be called "Records by unbeatability?"

Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Ascending beatability; makes sense to me.

Jon O'Neill

Jon O'Neill Fair enough, you probably look at this page more than anyone.

Gevin Chapwell

Gevin Chapwell Doesn't make sense to me. Records by x would normally mean descending. Top scores would start with the highest, for example. So yeah, it is upside-down.

Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Are goaty formats' beatability determined by max available or metamax available? Either way, Goatdown Standard looks surprisingly beatable.

Adam Gillard

Adam Gillard Well done Bob! Down to 1% beatability now.

Stephen Moore

Stephen Moore What does 1 in ∞ mean?

Stephen Moore

Stephen Moore It updated overnight - it is now beatable one in 3,314 games!

Catherine Mullan

Catherine Mullan Why is that?

Stephen Moore

Stephen Moore Whoops, I was looking at the Junior 9 Rounder score, not the Junior 15, in 23rd at 1 in 243.

Jon Stitcher

Jon Stitcher Players don't get accused of cheating, they get discovered cheating.

Show all comments
Gevin Chapwell

Gevin Chapwell Just looking at this, I was thinking that the beatability becomes a bit inaccurate when it's very low. Octorock 9 is 1 in infinity, even though it is beatable, presumably because a higher max has never been seen. So maybe rather than using stats from whole games, a calculation that uses round-by-round information might be more accurate.

Johnny Canuck

Johnny Canuck Agreed that the 1 in ∞ figure is misleading, especially for a rather rare format-variant combination. Perhaps a question mark ("1 in ?") or the current number of attempts followed by a plus sign ("1 in 1,009+") would be more suitable.

Mike Lee

Mike Lee Are these beatability figures getting adjusted now that we’ve just had the 2024 dictionary cull???

Matthew Brockwell

Matthew Brockwell These figures are calculated by the empirical data of actual games played over all time. Given how rarely some of these variants are played I don’t think it is worth it, they will naturally adjust over time, and already include pre-2015 data.

Callum Todd

Callum Todd Yes I believe the formula is something like:

The number of games ever played in this format (Attempts Column)

divided by: The number of those games in which the maximum available score was higher than the current high score

equals: the Beatable 1 game in... column

That as a percentage gives the Beatability score.

So for example the 15 rounder, there have been 831,626 of those played in apterous history. 37 of these have hada max score greater than 179.

Therefore the high score is beatable 37 games in 831,626, or 1 game in 22,476, 0.004% of the time.

I'm not sure how many of those 37 games occurred during the bloated dictionary era, but the 13 I can see all did: https://www.apterous.org/viewformat.php?format=269&section=3

I don't expect it will be reasonably possible to recalculate these scores based on new dictionary as that would required recomputing the maximum of more or less every round ever played in apterous history.

Major places

See also: list of all Statland pages.

Statland: Records by beatability

This table shows all current beatable high scores ordered by "beatability". This is defined as the proportion of games in which the maximum score is higher than the current high score. The table also shows how many games one would have to play, on average, to get even one chance to beat the current record. Formats in which the maximum possible score has already been achieved are not shown.

#FormatHigh scoreBeatabilityBeatable 1
game in...
Attempts
1stJunior 9 Rounder1060%9,660
1stLockdown 9790%1,988
3rd15 Rounder1790.004%23,533894,249
4thOld 151700.005%21,983329,749
5th9 Rounder1170.01%14,195113,563
6thNice 9830.02%6,49012,980
7thUnlimited Jnr Letters Attack1440.02%4,69114,074
8thBullet Letters Attack2280.02%4,64427,864
9thUnlimited Jnr 151250.03%3,94011,821
10thUnlimited Jnr 9780.03%3,6647,327
11thMocktorun11650.04%2,25611,281
12thOctorock 9740.1%1,9381,938
13thOctorock Numbers Attack1860.1%1,7958,977
14thLetters Attack2180.1%1,62251,910
15thCSW 9 rounder1160.1%1,6161,616
16thBlitz1780.1%1,4495,796
17thInstant Letters Attack2000.1%1,42442,706
18thGoat Attack2990.1%1,17546,984
19thBullet 91070.1%97811,737
20thUnlimited Flat 9980.1%8711,742
21stSpoilage 154260.1%8343,335
22ndSpoilage 92610.1%6852,739
23rdLightning Goatblitz2160.2%6149,216
24thUnlimited 91020.2%6146,137
25thSpeed 91060.2%57812,713
26thUnlimited Blitz1690.2%5741,721
27thJunior Letters Attack1940.2%5626,177
28thSpeed Letters Attack2140.2%5219,369
29thSpeedgoat2150.2%49115,222
30thGoatdown Jnr. Letters Attack1370.2%4763,333
31stBullet 151640.2%44217,667
32ndLockdown Jnr 9700.2%4401,320
33rdCSW 15 rounder1680.2%4121,648
34thSpoilage Letters Attack6230.2%4054,452
35thUnlimited Letters Attack2140.3%33810,812
36thCSW Letters Attack2160.3%3353,350
37thNice 151330.3%2936,445
38thNice Letters Attack1670.4%27818,056
39thSpeed 151610.4%2658,475
40thOctolock 9730.4%245981
41stLockdown Jnr Letters Attack1250.4%2441,221
42ndNasty 9770.4%2431,701
43rdGoatdown Jnr. 151130.4%2253,147
44thHyper 151680.5%2216,177
45thUnlimited 151620.5%2195,926
46thInstant 151520.5%21810,881
47thFlat 9740.5%2173,690
48thInstant 9961%19911,121
49thHyper Unlimited Letters Attack2621%1919,354
50thGoatdown Standard2141%18116,495
51stDeepdown Letters Attack1361%1751,925
52ndLockdown Jnr 151101%1571,884
53rdTouchdown 151371%1274,068
54thGoatblitz2131%12715,484
55thLightning 151611%1273,046
56thHyper Unlimited 91131%1262,266
57thBerserk 91041%1206,100
58thJunior 15 Rounder1511%10110,162
59thBerserk 151581%766,162
60thBerserk Letters Attack2041%753,298
61stTouchdown 9831%722,509
62ndFlat 151211%681,777
63rdHyper Unlimited 151862%612,973
64thHyper Letters Attack2082%565,298
65thHyper Unlimited Flat 91072%561,390
66thLockdown 151252%532,870
67thNice Blitz1293%403,431
68thTouchdown Letters Attack1743%395,930
69thFrench 9 Rounder993%333,199
70thHypergoat 91183%331,730
71stPortuguese 9 Rounder963%331,354
72ndNasty Letters Attack1473%326,333
73rdOctolock 151143%321,843
74thNasty 151223%312,295
75thDuckdown 91493%301,887
76thHypertouch 9953%301,656
77thHypergoat Letters Attack2503%2914,032
78thOctolock Numbers Attack1824%285,258
79thOctorock 151144%272,766
80thHyper 9994%275,103
81stOctorock Letters Attack1404%272,574
82ndLockdown Letters Attack1514%261,702
83rdLightning Goatdown 152045%223,153
84thHypergoat Blitz1855%212,370
85thFrench Letters Attack2035%189,595
86thTouchblitz1346%181,652
87thGerman 9827%141,498
88thWelsh 9 rounder819%11786
89thRussian 151129%113,481
90thHyper Nasty Letters Attack18410%102,076
91stGerman 1513210%103,282
92ndBeanstalk Letters Attack19810%102,867
93rdSpanish 910211%102,655
94thHyper Blitz15311%91,229
95thFrench 15 Rounder15211%95,742
96thPortuguese 15 Rounder14813%81,735
97thRussian 96913%8851
98thHypergoatdown17313%83,294
99thItalian 1515816%61,985
100thOld Mocktorun105416%6885
101stOctolock Letters Attack13417%6586
102ndRussian Letters Attack12817%67,610
103rdNasty Blitz11718%61,104
104thHyperlock 98618%6459
105thDuckdown 1523822%52,505
106thHyper Nasty 98522%51,121
107thSpanish 1515722%43,705
108thGerman Letters Attack15523%46,018
109thPortuguese Letters Attack18027%41,954
110thItalian 99135%31,396
111thHyperlock Letters Attack18036%3929
112thHyperlock 1514037%31,760
113thHypertouch 1515438%32,472
114thCatalan 99440%2331
115thItalian Letters Attack19941%23,888
116thDuckdown Letters Attack34543%21,994
117thDutch 97845%2755
118thHypertouchblitz15446%21,647
119thHyper Nasty 1513956%21,307
120thHypertouch Letters Attack20656%25,528
121stLatin 99858%21,020
122ndHyper Nasty Blitz13565%2667
123rdSpanish Letters Attack19070%13,136
124thGreek 97473%12,364
125thWelsh 15 rounder11486%12,621
126thHebrew 9 Rounder6993%1417
127thDutch Letters Attack14893%12,033
128thGreek 1511895%1838
129thCatalan 1513496%1376
130thLatin 1515197%12,375
131stCatalan Letters Attack17498%1488
132ndLatin Letters Attack20299%11,255
133rdDutch 1511499%11,734
134thGreek Letters Attack14299.8%11,539
135thHebrew Letters Attack12999.9%1673
136thSpoilage Numbers Attack180100%19,581
136thInstant Conundrum Attack198100%15,832
136thWelsh Letters Attack127100%12,022
136thOmelette Blitz148100%11,396
136thHyper Nasty Conundrum Attack190100%11,308
136thFinnish 15 Rounder99100%11,118
136thSpoilage Conundrum Attack150100%11,117
136thTouchdown Jnr Conundrum Attack170100%1973
136thFinnish Letters Attack110100%1780
136thFinnish 9 Rounder58100%1768
136thGerman Conundrum Attack170100%1570
136thHebrew 15 Rounder106100%1533
136thPortuguese Conundrum Attack150100%1333
136thHypertouch Conundrum Attack170100%1332
136thSpanish Conundrum Attack100100%1307
136thItalian Conundrum Attack90100%1238
136thGreek Conundrum Attack90100%1223
136thLatin Conundrum Attack100100%1199
136thRussian Conundrum Attack90100%1117
136thDutch Conundrum Attack70100%1113
136thHebrew Conundrum Attack90100%172
136thFinnish Conundrum Attack60100%147
136thCatalan Conundrum Attack80100%140

Last updated: 2025-04-08 23:27:18 (22 days, 8 hours, 50 minutes, and 14 seconds ago.)
Update time: 6 minutes and 14 seconds.
Next update: Imminent.

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